Tuesday, June 27, 2006

Iranian Regime Plays For Time As G8 Meeting Looms

Two important things are occurring right now on Iran and the nuclear standoff:

1) Iranian regime is buying time -- Reportedly a lag time of 2 months has been asked by Iranian nuclear officials from Ahmadinejad and the central government in Tehran on a response to UNSC/West on the Incentives Package in lieu of stopping all enrichment activity. The reason for this 2 months delay is that Iranian regime is planning for yet another surprise announcement that it considers "good news": that the regime’s enrichment (which reached 3% in April) will surpass 10% by August.

Iranian regime is hoping that with raising the stakes in such a way, it could make the West/U.S. to not only grant it all the previously offered incentives, but to additionally give the theocracy the "Security Guarantees" (promise not to attack Iran militarily, and not to try to topple the regime) that it desperately seeks from the U.S.


2) The upcoming G8 meeting in Russia will be critical in determining Iranian regime’s ultimate faith. -- Putin is seeking lots of incentives from US, the largest of which is over substantial reduction or nullification of Russian goods import tariffs to the West and U.S.

Putin will also ask US to allow Russia to SELL ARMS & MILITARY EQUIPMENT to the new government of Iraq, and to other governments in the region that are currently under U.S. hegemony.

These contracts sought by Russia, if granted, will be extremely lucrative for its failing economy, and are critical to its survival in the next decade as it grapples with a dwindling population growth (negative growth in Russia's population), and a weak economy.

In return, Russia has agreed that it will commit to the US/West's position on Iranian nuclear issue, and that Russia will be squarely aboard with the US on the ultimate faith of the regime in Tehran.

Again, the nuclear issue, at best; was, and continues to be just a "side show".