Iran Ship Sailing Away from US
Certain factions within the EU aristocratic political elite who support appeasement/sleeping-in-the-same bed foreign policy towards Islamists (remember Jack Straw?). We have our own share of this breed in the US: Kerry, Soros, Obama, Biden, and other Euro-politicians, and their supporters in the media (NBC, Charlie Rose, McLaughlin, to name just a few.) These same appeasers, who have always had soft spots in their hearts for the Iranian mullahs, are trying to prevent any serious action against the regime by the US. And the Archbishop of Canterbury is the latest convenient mouthpiece spewing the same line of appeasement towards the Iranian regime in his latest moans where the Archbishop is basically sounding like a Christian Iranian Ayatollah.(see: http://pajamasmedia.com/xpress/michaelledeen/2007/10/06/the_archbishops_sermon.php#comments.)
What the Europeans are trying to do in Iran (minus France now, perhaps) is to see if they can get their own elements, i.e., Rafsanjani and Khatami gang, back into power in Iran. That will kill 3 birds with one stone in that they get rid of Ahamdinejad and Khomeini(eventually and later, as the new head of the council, Rafsanjani can convince the 'Council of Experts' to replace Khamenei upon his death, or sooner, with Khatami. It was initially Rafsanjani who made the same council elect Khamenei himself as the Supreme Leader many years ago.)Second, Rafsanjani and Khatami will most likely put a freeze on the nuclear activities of Iran, hence satisfying US and Israel.The third is a point of selfish economic profit for Europe itself: Under Rafsanjani and/or Khatami, EU will reclaim all the contracts they lost to the Russians and the Chinese under Ahmadinejad's reign. Any 'limited strike' against the Ghods Force and/or the Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) which may occur should be looked at in the same vein. Gordon Brown is reportedly a strong proponent of such a limited strike on the IRGC (but not a massive bombing campaign desigen to topple the regime.)
The 'limited strike' is not designed for, nor will it be effective, as a tool for regime change in Iran. Regime change could only happen if a massive bombing campaign of all of the regime's power centers (not only the IRGC) is conducted with the specific intention of targeting the regime and prompt it to fall. This outcome is far from what the European powers, who have lucrative and vested economic interests in Iran, want. So why is the UK supporting a purported 'limited strike' against the IRGC? Read on.
**************************************************************************************************
There are at least 4 armed main units created by the Iranian regime to ensure its survival, and ideological expansion by having many separate entities-- distribution of power-- in order to have redundancy in its safety and security against any foreign or internal enemies who may try to topple the regime militarily or otherwise:
--The IRGC: separate entity form the Iranian army, akin to Saddam's Elite Republic Guards involved in everything from oil industry contracts to protecting the regime. The SS guards of the regime.
-- The Baseej Force: paramilitary urban Gestapo to quash urban unrest, civil disobedience, workers, women, student anti-regime demonstrations, etc.
--The Ghods Force: an offshoot of the IRGC with special operations over-the-border raid capability, foreign insurgency terrorist training, and conducting of terrorist operations inside the neighboring countries like Iraq, Afghanistan, and now in Azerbaijan to try to topple the neighboring governments and help install Islamist states with ties to Tehran in those countries.
--The Mahdi Army (Jaysh-Al-Mahdi): an 'army' created by the Iranian regime plan and financing which operates in southern Iraq and is headed by Tehran-supported radical Shiite mullah, Moghtada Al-Sadr, to create instability across Iraq. The goal is to cause as much mayhem and unrest for US forces as possible, and to ultimately establish an Islamist Iranian satellite state in Iraq under Iranian control.
The IRGC, and the Baseej in particular, are close allies of the current President n Iran, Ahamdinejad and his cohorts, radical Ayatollahs like Jannati, Mesbah-Yazdi, and of course the Supreme Leader Khamenei himself. The "Reformists" on the other hand, are the likes of Rafsanjani and Khatami who both have European ties.
Khatami was the President before June 2006 when Ahamdinejad came into power. In his younger years, Khatami studied Islam in Germany. Khatami's classmate was none other than Ayatollah Beheshti who later died in a bombing incident where 72 of the top elite leadership of the regime were killed in the early years after 1979 Islamists take over of Iran. Beheshti had German citizenship and a German wife. Khatami and his classmate Beheshti both attended the Hambourg Islamic Institute.
Rafsanjani too, is a shadowy, multi-faced character, who when President of Iran before Khatami, had extensive ties with western European countries, as well as with the Canadian government under Chrétien. He was responsible for many assassinations and executions of dissidents in Europe and in Iran. He has also been named as an accomplice in ordering the bombing of the Jewish Center in Buenos Aires, Argentina during his presidency. He has enormous wealth due to his family's monopoly of the oil industry and receiving illegal kick-backs from European corporations in return for allowing them concessions in doing business in Iran. It has also been reported in Iran and other international sources that Rafsanjani owns several real estate mega-properties in Canada, including shopping malls, and even a small town.
In all of their history, Iran and Europe never had the huge trade volumes achieved under Rafsanjani and Khatami. And as such, Iran turned into a 'Cash Cow' for European corporate interest. After 1979, and especially in the 80s and 90s, Europeans were awarded huge economic advantage in Iran that they could not have dreamt of when the Shah was in power.In return, throughout 80s and 90s, Europe provided ample political support for the regime in international forums, and even indirectly allowed Tehran to do its dirty work on European soil through numerous assassinations of dissidents who the regime perceived as threats to it.
A selective ‘limited strike’ against the IRGC and Ghods Force, and not a massive bombing of all of the regime’s power centers which could cause the regime to fall, is just what the “Reformists” in Iran need to weaken the hand of the Ahmadinejad’s faction and to strengthen them. If and when the strike occurs, Rafsanjani could easily use the military strike on IRGC as a convenient tool to scare and convince the ‘Council of Experts’ which he leads, to strip Ahamdinejad of all his powers, declare state of emergency, and pave the road for Rafsanjani and the “Reformists” to return to power.
And eventually if not sooner, the western pro-regime appeasers both in Europe and America hope, that Khamenei himself could be ousted from the Supreme Leadership seat and replaced, perhaps, by Khatami. And there you will have the start of a new phase of and Islamic Republic which the west can actually live and trade with. And as soon as the new, pro-European Islamic regime is established in Tehran, an immediate and indefinite suspension or freeze of all Iranian nuclear activities will be declared, and all will be verified and forgiven.
Frankly, judging by President Bush's back-pedaling on Iran in the last few days, people who back the esteemed Archbishop are winning in their effort to neuter US into inaction against the regime.
Meanwhile, while Washington is bogged down with weakness, inaction, and indecision due to internal strife on what, if anything, to do about Iran, it seems that the American political advantage and leverage in Iran is disappearing fast, and as such, potentially for a long time to come.
And then, the only losers, as usual, will be the Iranian democracy and people; and of course American interests in the region.
What the Europeans are trying to do in Iran (minus France now, perhaps) is to see if they can get their own elements, i.e., Rafsanjani and Khatami gang, back into power in Iran. That will kill 3 birds with one stone in that they get rid of Ahamdinejad and Khomeini(eventually and later, as the new head of the council, Rafsanjani can convince the 'Council of Experts' to replace Khamenei upon his death, or sooner, with Khatami. It was initially Rafsanjani who made the same council elect Khamenei himself as the Supreme Leader many years ago.)Second, Rafsanjani and Khatami will most likely put a freeze on the nuclear activities of Iran, hence satisfying US and Israel.The third is a point of selfish economic profit for Europe itself: Under Rafsanjani and/or Khatami, EU will reclaim all the contracts they lost to the Russians and the Chinese under Ahmadinejad's reign. Any 'limited strike' against the Ghods Force and/or the Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) which may occur should be looked at in the same vein. Gordon Brown is reportedly a strong proponent of such a limited strike on the IRGC (but not a massive bombing campaign desigen to topple the regime.)
The 'limited strike' is not designed for, nor will it be effective, as a tool for regime change in Iran. Regime change could only happen if a massive bombing campaign of all of the regime's power centers (not only the IRGC) is conducted with the specific intention of targeting the regime and prompt it to fall. This outcome is far from what the European powers, who have lucrative and vested economic interests in Iran, want. So why is the UK supporting a purported 'limited strike' against the IRGC? Read on.
**************************************************************************************************
There are at least 4 armed main units created by the Iranian regime to ensure its survival, and ideological expansion by having many separate entities-- distribution of power-- in order to have redundancy in its safety and security against any foreign or internal enemies who may try to topple the regime militarily or otherwise:
--The IRGC: separate entity form the Iranian army, akin to Saddam's Elite Republic Guards involved in everything from oil industry contracts to protecting the regime. The SS guards of the regime.
-- The Baseej Force: paramilitary urban Gestapo to quash urban unrest, civil disobedience, workers, women, student anti-regime demonstrations, etc.
--The Ghods Force: an offshoot of the IRGC with special operations over-the-border raid capability, foreign insurgency terrorist training, and conducting of terrorist operations inside the neighboring countries like Iraq, Afghanistan, and now in Azerbaijan to try to topple the neighboring governments and help install Islamist states with ties to Tehran in those countries.
--The Mahdi Army (Jaysh-Al-Mahdi): an 'army' created by the Iranian regime plan and financing which operates in southern Iraq and is headed by Tehran-supported radical Shiite mullah, Moghtada Al-Sadr, to create instability across Iraq. The goal is to cause as much mayhem and unrest for US forces as possible, and to ultimately establish an Islamist Iranian satellite state in Iraq under Iranian control.
The IRGC, and the Baseej in particular, are close allies of the current President n Iran, Ahamdinejad and his cohorts, radical Ayatollahs like Jannati, Mesbah-Yazdi, and of course the Supreme Leader Khamenei himself. The "Reformists" on the other hand, are the likes of Rafsanjani and Khatami who both have European ties.
Khatami was the President before June 2006 when Ahamdinejad came into power. In his younger years, Khatami studied Islam in Germany. Khatami's classmate was none other than Ayatollah Beheshti who later died in a bombing incident where 72 of the top elite leadership of the regime were killed in the early years after 1979 Islamists take over of Iran. Beheshti had German citizenship and a German wife. Khatami and his classmate Beheshti both attended the Hambourg Islamic Institute.
Rafsanjani too, is a shadowy, multi-faced character, who when President of Iran before Khatami, had extensive ties with western European countries, as well as with the Canadian government under Chrétien. He was responsible for many assassinations and executions of dissidents in Europe and in Iran. He has also been named as an accomplice in ordering the bombing of the Jewish Center in Buenos Aires, Argentina during his presidency. He has enormous wealth due to his family's monopoly of the oil industry and receiving illegal kick-backs from European corporations in return for allowing them concessions in doing business in Iran. It has also been reported in Iran and other international sources that Rafsanjani owns several real estate mega-properties in Canada, including shopping malls, and even a small town.
In all of their history, Iran and Europe never had the huge trade volumes achieved under Rafsanjani and Khatami. And as such, Iran turned into a 'Cash Cow' for European corporate interest. After 1979, and especially in the 80s and 90s, Europeans were awarded huge economic advantage in Iran that they could not have dreamt of when the Shah was in power.In return, throughout 80s and 90s, Europe provided ample political support for the regime in international forums, and even indirectly allowed Tehran to do its dirty work on European soil through numerous assassinations of dissidents who the regime perceived as threats to it.
A selective ‘limited strike’ against the IRGC and Ghods Force, and not a massive bombing of all of the regime’s power centers which could cause the regime to fall, is just what the “Reformists” in Iran need to weaken the hand of the Ahmadinejad’s faction and to strengthen them. If and when the strike occurs, Rafsanjani could easily use the military strike on IRGC as a convenient tool to scare and convince the ‘Council of Experts’ which he leads, to strip Ahamdinejad of all his powers, declare state of emergency, and pave the road for Rafsanjani and the “Reformists” to return to power.
And eventually if not sooner, the western pro-regime appeasers both in Europe and America hope, that Khamenei himself could be ousted from the Supreme Leadership seat and replaced, perhaps, by Khatami. And there you will have the start of a new phase of and Islamic Republic which the west can actually live and trade with. And as soon as the new, pro-European Islamic regime is established in Tehran, an immediate and indefinite suspension or freeze of all Iranian nuclear activities will be declared, and all will be verified and forgiven.
Frankly, judging by President Bush's back-pedaling on Iran in the last few days, people who back the esteemed Archbishop are winning in their effort to neuter US into inaction against the regime.
Meanwhile, while Washington is bogged down with weakness, inaction, and indecision due to internal strife on what, if anything, to do about Iran, it seems that the American political advantage and leverage in Iran is disappearing fast, and as such, potentially for a long time to come.
And then, the only losers, as usual, will be the Iranian democracy and people; and of course American interests in the region.
posted by Jeanne De Rakhsh at 3:35 PM
0 Comments:
Post a Comment
<< Home